How to Calculate LTV on Shopify: The Ultimate Guide

Written by
Spencer Lanoue
October 30, 2024

Picture this: You're running a fast-growing ecommerce brand, and your customer base is expanding every day. But how do you know if your customers are sticking around for the long haul or just here for a quick purchase? This is where understanding and calculating Lifetime Value (LTV) becomes crucial. LTV tells you how much a customer is worth to your business over the entire relationship.

In this guide, we'll break down how to calculate LTV on Shopify, making it easy for DTC founders and CX leaders to understand and apply. From understanding the formula to leveraging Shopify's tools, we'll cover it all. Ready to dive in?

What is LTV and Why Does it Matter?

Lifetime Value (LTV) is a key metric that helps you understand the total revenue you can expect from a single customer account throughout their entire relationship with your business. It's not just a number; it’s a window into your business's future profitability. Why does it matter? Well, knowing your LTV helps you:

  • Budget smarter: Understanding LTV helps you allocate your marketing budget more effectively, ensuring you’re investing in customer acquisition strategies that deliver long-term value.
  • Boost customer retention: By analyzing LTV, you can identify which customers are most valuable and focus on keeping them happy.
  • Enhance CX: A higher LTV often correlates with a better customer experience, meaning satisfied customers who are more likely to return and recommend your brand to others.

So, how do we get started with calculating this all-important metric on Shopify?

The Basics of LTV Calculation

Calculating LTV might sound complex, but it's actually pretty straightforward once you get the hang of it. The basic formula for LTV is:


LTV = Average Order Value (AOV) x Purchase Frequency x Customer Lifespan

Let’s break this down:

  • Average Order Value (AOV): This is the average amount a customer spends per order. You can calculate it by dividing your total revenue by the number of orders.
  • Purchase Frequency: This tells you how often a customer buys from you over a given period. Calculate it by dividing the number of purchases by the number of unique customers.
  • Customer Lifespan: This is the average duration a customer continues to buy from your store. You can estimate it by analyzing historical data.

Now that you know the formula, let's look at how Shopify can help you with these calculations.

Using Shopify to Calculate AOV

Shopify provides a wealth of data that can make calculating AOV a breeze. Here's how you can find this information:

  1. Access Sales Reports: Navigate to your Shopify dashboard and click on “Analytics” followed by “Reports”. From there, you can access your sales reports.
  2. Calculate AOV: In your sales report, you'll find the total sales amount and the total number of orders. Divide the total sales by the total number of orders to get your AOV.

For example, if your store made $50,000 in sales from 1,000 orders, your AOV would be $50. Easy, right? This step is crucial because it sets the foundation for the rest of your LTV calculation.

Determining Purchase Frequency

Once you've nailed down your AOV, it's time to figure out how often customers are buying from your store. Here's how you can do that:

  1. Find the Total Number of Purchases: Again, use your sales reports to find the total number of purchases.
  2. Identify Unique Customers: Shopify provides insights into the number of unique customers. This is often available under your customer reports.
  3. Calculate Purchase Frequency: Divide the total number of purchases by the number of unique customers to determine how often customers are returning.

For instance, if you had 1,500 purchases from 500 unique customers, your purchase frequency would be 3. This means, on average, each customer makes three purchases over the period you're analyzing.

Estimating Customer Lifespan

Customer lifespan can be a bit trickier to calculate, as it involves predicting future behavior. However, historical data can provide valuable insights:

  1. Analyze Historical Data: Look at your past sales data to determine how long customers continue to make purchases after their first order.
  2. Use Cohort Analysis: This involves grouping customers who made their first purchase in the same period and tracking their purchasing behavior over time.
  3. Estimate an Average Lifespan: Based on your analysis, estimate how many months or years a typical customer stays with your brand.

For example, if you find that most customers stop purchasing after three years, your customer lifespan would be three years. This historical insight is invaluable for planning and forecasting.

Putting It All Together: Calculating LTV

With all these components at your fingertips, it's time to calculate your LTV. Here's a step-by-step guide:

  1. Calculate AOV: Use your Shopify sales reports to determine your average order value.
  2. Determine Purchase Frequency: Find out how often your customers are buying using your purchase and customer data.
  3. Estimate Customer Lifespan: Use historical data to gauge how long customers typically stay with your brand.
  4. Apply the Formula: Multiply your AOV by purchase frequency and customer lifespan to get your LTV.

For example, if your AOV is $50, purchase frequency is 3, and customer lifespan is 3 years, your LTV would be $50 x 3 x 3 = $450. This means each customer is worth $450 over their lifetime with your brand.

Using Shopify Apps to Simplify the Process

While it's entirely possible to calculate LTV manually, Shopify offers various apps that can automate and simplify the process. Here are a few popular options:

  • Customer Value by Littledata: This app integrates seamlessly with Shopify and Google Analytics to provide LTV calculations, helping you track customer behavior and purchase trends.
  • LTV Plus: Designed to offer detailed insights, this app helps you understand LTV by segmenting customers based on their purchasing patterns.
  • SegMetrics: Provides a comprehensive overview of your customer data, making it easier to calculate LTV and other important metrics.

These tools can save you time and provide deeper insights into your customer base, helping you make informed decisions for your business.

Improving LTV through Customer Experience

Now that you know how to calculate LTV, the next step is to focus on improving it. A key way to boost LTV is by enhancing customer experience (CX). Here are a few strategies:

  • Personalization: Tailor your marketing messages and product recommendations to individual customers based on past behavior and preferences.
  • Excellent Customer Support: Provide quick and effective support through various channels, such as live chat, email, and social media.
  • Loyalty Programs: Implement programs that reward customers for repeat purchases, referrals, and other actions that demonstrate brand loyalty.

By prioritizing CX, you're more likely to keep customers coming back, ultimately increasing their lifetime value and the profitability of your brand.

Tracking and Monitoring LTV Over Time

Calculating LTV is not a one-time task. It's important to track and monitor it over time to identify trends and make necessary adjustments. Here's how:

  • Regular Analysis: Review your LTV calculations at regular intervals, such as quarterly or annually, to understand how it's changing over time.
  • Adjust Strategies: If you notice a decline in LTV, evaluate your strategies and consider making changes to improve customer retention and satisfaction.
  • Benchmarking: Compare your LTV against industry standards to see how you stack up and identify areas for improvement.

Consistently monitoring your LTV helps you stay proactive and responsive to the changing needs of your customers.

Final Thoughts

Calculating LTV on Shopify is a powerful way to understand your customers and drive long-term growth for your ecommerce brand. By breaking down the components of LTV and utilizing Shopify's tools, you can make informed decisions that prioritize customer satisfaction and retention.

If you're looking for a user-friendly platform to enhance your CX, consider Fullcourt. Designed specifically for fast-growing Shopify brands, Fullcourt offers a shared team inbox, self-service live chat portal, and an AI customer support assistant—all in one intuitive platform. It’s a lightweight alternative to bulky helpdesks, helping you streamline your customer service efforts and boost customer loyalty.

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